<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/qYeZwUVx5MY" title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe> Nate Hagens' synthesis of 15 years of collaboration with scientists and systems thinkiers. The almost 3-hour presentation is a structured walk through 33 myths that run our civilization: [2:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=14)––Myth #33: The Experts Have ALL the Answers [4:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=256s) — Myth #32: Humans Are Separate From Nature [6:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=405s) — Myth #31: Humans Are Mostly Selfish [12:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=737s) — Myth #30: More Is Better [18:12](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=1092s) — Myth #29: “Someday I’ll Have enough” [21:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=1278s) — Myth #28: We Care About the Future [23:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=1418s) — Myth #27: Everyone Has Their Own Truth [26:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=1597s) — Myth #26: Truth Matters [29:31](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=1771s) — Myth #25: Energy Is Merely a Commodity [34:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=2068s) — Myth #24: The American Dream is Based on Hard Work and Cleverness [36:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=2165s) — Myth #23: Oil: The USA Will Be the Next Saudi Arabia [41:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=2506s) — Myth #22: We Can Always Get More Resources if We Have More Money [44:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=2682s) — Myth #21: Renewables Can Power THIS Civilization [50:55](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=3055s) — Myth #20: In the future we wont need oil due to Peak Demand!! [55:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=3301s) — Myth #19: We Can Achieve Net Zero!! (by 2050 or any date) [59:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=3594s) — Myth #18: As Earth runs out of resources, We’ll Colonize Outer Space!! [1:02:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=3746s) — Myth #17: Growth Is Forever - At current projected growth rates (ie 3% per year), the global economy will be 4 times larger in 2070. - We will need 3 times today's global energy in 50 years. - Growth has been slow or absent for 99% of our history. [1:05:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=3904s) — Myth #16: GDP Is the Right Goal for Society [1:10:56](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=4256s) — Myth #15: Overpopulation Is the Main Driver - We have 2 population problems: 1) People; 2) Things. - We are adding 8 million 8 pound babies each year. - But we are also adding 100 million 3000 pound carbon-emiting and carbonr-requiring vehicles each year. - We should target the 2nd population problem, not the 1st. [1:15:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=4521s) — Myth #14: Technology Will Solve It [1:21:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=4876s) — Myth #13: The Environment Is Part of the Economy [1:24:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=5044s) — Myth #12: The Natural World Is Ours [1:27:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=5223s) — Myth #11: Climate Change Is the Core Problem [1:32:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=5564s) — Myth #10: Billionaires and Politicians Are in Charge [1:38:56](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=5936s) — Myth #9: Financial Markets Give Us the Right Signals for the Future [1:43:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=6202s) — Myth #8: Stimulus Is Permanent [1:48:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=6517s) — Myth #7: We Need to Crash the System to Get a Fresh Start [1:52:43](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=6763s) — Myth #6: The Use of Nuclear Weapons Is Unthinkable [1:57:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=7023s) — Myth #5: Fossil Fuel Companies Are at Fault [2:03:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=7381s) — Myth #4: Capitalism Is to Blame [2:07:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=7674s) — Myth #3: Humans Are Bad [2:11:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=7897s) — Myth #2: We Face a Shortage of Energy [2:14:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYeZwUVx5MY&t=8057s) — Myth #1: We Are Doomed Energy and Economy: - We have a 15 terawatt economy run 80% on fossil fuels. - 1 barrel of oil does the work of a single human working constantly for 5 years - the world uses 100 billion barrels of oil per year, which is equivalent to 500 billion humans worth of labour - the world uses 5 billion real workers, and 500 billion fossil workers - Our economy is 1000 times larger than it was 500 years ago - We are extracing fossil fuels from the earth 10 million times faster than the planet sequestered it - Technology is acting as a large straw, and allowing us to extract faster - Our economy is currently geared towards using transportable cheap, liquid, always available energy (fossil fuels), and not built for intermittent, variable, low power density, spatially dispersed energy (renewables) - Once people make $60,000 - $70,000 / year, people don't gain much from greater energy use. - Banks loan money into existence, with no tether to underlying resources. - Most technology serves to increase our baseline energy needs for the following year - There is a 1:1 link between material footprint and GDP - Every 25 years, there will be a doubling of material throughput, based on 3% GDP growth - We are drawing down the principal, but treating it as interest Brain and Behavior: - We are trying to mimic the same emotional states as our ancestor 200,000 years ago - We get the same dopamine hit from playing Candy Crush as our ancestors got from killing antelope